No clear favorite. Tom Hoge leads at just 39%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Hoge | 39% | +154% | - |
| 2 | Beau Hossler | 38% | +163% | - |
| 3 | Harry Hall | 37% | +170% | - |
| 4 | Ben James | 20% | +413% | - |
| 5 | Michael Kim | 20% | +413% | - |
| 6 | Jackson Koivun BEST VALUE | 6% | +1670% | - |
| 7 | Doug Ghim | 5% | +2028% | $2K |
| 8 | Blades Brown | 4% | +2432% | - |
| 9 | Chris Kirk | 3% | +3126% | $333 |
| 10 | Pierceson Coody | 2% | +3900% | - |
| 11 | Andrew Novak | 2% | +4067% | - |
| 12 | Jordan L. Smith | 2% | +4155% | - |
| 13 | Brian Harman | 2% | +4445% | - |
| 14 | David Ford | 2% | +4662% | - |
| 15 | Ben Kohles | 2% | +5782% | - |
| 16 | Austin Smotherman | 2% | +6150% | $8K |
| 17 | Johnny Keefer | 1% | +6797% | - |
| 18 | Christo Lamprecht | 1% | +6797% | - |
| 19 | Seamus Power | 1% | +6797% | - |
| 20 | Zach Bauchou | 1% | +7043% | $124 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Austin Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Austin Championship tournament based...
This prediction market tracks whether PGA Tour: Austin Championship Winner will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Tom Hoge leads at only 39% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $10K traded in the last 24 hours alone (84% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 11, 2026 at 15:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Tom Hoge at 39% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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