Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
24h: $8.6M
Total: $942.7M
Ends: Nov 07, 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
49%
24h: $7.1M
Total: $496.1M
Ends: Nov 07, 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%
24h: $5.9M
Total: $475.1M
Ends: Nov 07, 2028
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
42%
24h: $781K
Total: $33.8M
Ends: Oct 04, 2026
24h: $516K
Total: $27.5M
Ends: Jan 25, 2026
24h: $1.2M
Total: $23.9M
Ends: Apr 30, 2027
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%
24h: $5.9M
Total: $475.1M
Ends: Nov 07, 2028
24h: $1.3M
Total: $50.4M
Ends: Apr 12, 2026
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
42%
24h: $781K
Total: $33.8M
Ends: Oct 04, 2026
24h: $1.2M
Total: $23.9M
Ends: Apr 30, 2027
24h: $87K
Total: $13.1M
Ends: May 26, 2026
24h: $908K
Total: $9.1M
Ends: Jun 03, 2026
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
24h: $8.6M
Total: $942.7M
Ends: Nov 07, 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
49%
24h: $7.1M
Total: $496.1M
Ends: Nov 07, 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%
24h: $5.9M
Total: $475.1M
Ends: Nov 07, 2028
24h: $5.8M
Total: $89.4M
Ends: Dec 31, 2026
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
24h: $298K
Total: $78.6M
Ends: Dec 31, 2026
24h: $1.3M
Total: $50.4M
Ends: Apr 12, 2026
24h: $617K
Total: $39.5M
Ends: Apr 12, 2026
24h: $2.1M
Total: $39.0M
Ends: Apr 29, 2026
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
42%
24h: $781K
Total: $33.8M
Ends: Oct 04, 2026
24h: $516K
Total: $27.5M
Ends: Jan 25, 2026
24h: $1.2M
Total: $23.9M
Ends: Apr 30, 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
16%
24h: $657K
Total: $22.9M
Ends: Jun 30, 2026
24h: $426K
Total: $22.0M
Ends: Dec 31, 2026
Drake releases Iceman
91%
New Playboi Carti Album
58%
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
54%
24h: $30K
Total: $19.8M
Ends: Jul 31, 2026
24h: $1.6M
Total: $18.3M
Ends: Apr 30, 2026
24h: $605K
Total: $15.7M
Ends: Jan 25, 2026
24h: $229K
Total: $15.7M
Ends: Oct 31, 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10%
24h: $359K
Total: $14.7M
Ends: Dec 31, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30
6%
24h: $421K
Total: $13.1M
Ends: Apr 30, 2026
24h: $87K
Total: $13.1M
Ends: May 26, 2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 202
28%
24h: $76K
Total: $12.4M
Ends: Dec 31, 2026
24h: $1.0M
Total: $12.4M
Ends: Apr 03, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027
34%
24h: $172K
Total: $12.2M
Ends: Dec 31, 2026
International Court of Justice
4%
24h: $183K
Total: $11.9M
Ends: Oct 10, 2026
24h: $224K
Total: $10.9M
Ends: Mar 31, 2026
24h: $64K
Total: $10.3M
Ends: Dec 31, 2025
24h: $2.4M
Total: $9.8M
Ends: Mar 31, 2026
24h: $636K
Total: $9.3M
Ends: Mar 31, 2026
24h: $908K
Total: $9.1M
Ends: Jun 03, 2026
Why Use Prediction Markets for Election Forecasting?
Prediction markets aggregate the knowledge of thousands of traders who put real money behind their beliefs.
Unlike opinion polls, which sample a small group and can suffer from response bias, prediction markets
incentivize accuracy — you lose money if you're wrong.
In the 2024 US presidential election, Polymarket's odds correctly reflected the eventual winner
when polls showed a statistical dead heat. Prediction markets have historically outperformed
expert forecasts and polls, especially as election day approaches.
How to read election odds: If a candidate trades at 65¢, the market collectively
estimates a 65% probability of winning. Prices move in real-time as news breaks and sentiment shifts.