No clear favorite. Scottie Scheffler leads at just 24%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | 24% | +317% | $104 |
| 2 | Nicolai Hojgaard BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | - |
| 3 | Keith Mitchell | 6% | +1718% | - |
| 4 | Rory McIlroy | 5% | +2074% | - |
| 5 | Xander Schauffele | 4% | +2339% | $87 |
| 6 | Sam Burns | 4% | +2400% | - |
| 7 | Cameron Young | 4% | +2717% | $102 |
| 8 | Si Woo Kim | 3% | +2799% | - |
| 9 | Hideki Matsuyama | 3% | +2885% | - |
| 10 | Ludvig Aberg | 3% | +2930% | $500 |
| 11 | Chris Gotterup | 3% | +2977% | - |
| 12 | Tommy Fleetwood | 3% | +3025% | - |
| 13 | Justin Thomas | 3% | +3233% | - |
| 14 | Jake Knapp | 3% | +3674% | $116 |
| 15 | Michael Thorbjornsen | 3% | +3674% | $96 |
| 16 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 2% | +4445% | - |
| 17 | Alexander Noren | 2% | +4551% | - |
| 18 | Viktor Hovland | 2% | +4662% | $162 |
| 19 | Patrick Cantlay | 2% | +4900% | - |
| 20 | Wyndham Clark | 2% | +4900% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 BMW Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the BMW Championship tournament based on th...
This prediction market tracks whether PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner will occur, with $32K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Scottie Scheffler leads at only 24% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-23. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 19, 2026 at 02:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Scottie Scheffler at 24% probability, with $32K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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