No clear favorite. France leads at just 18%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $979.8M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 18% | +463% | $26.1M |
| 2 | Spain | 17% | +504% | $20.4M |
| 3 | England | 11% | +773% | $16.7M |
| 4 | Brazil | 9% | +993% | $18.2M |
| 5 | Argentina | 9% | +1056% | $17.4M |
| 6 | Portugal | 8% | +1142% | $19.1M |
| 7 | Germany BEST VALUE | 5% | +1842% | $16.2M |
| 8 | Netherlands | 3% | +2799% | $18.4M |
| 9 | Norway | 2% | +4344% | $16.9M |
| 10 | Japan | 2% | +4778% | $21.2M |
| 11 | Belgium | 2% | +5305% | $16.1M |
| 12 | Colombia | 2% | +5961% | $15.2M |
| 13 | USA | 2% | +6352% | $31.9M |
| 14 | Morocco | 2% | +6352% | $20.2M |
| 15 | Switzerland | 1% | +8596% | $17.7M |
| 16 | Uruguay | 1% | +9424% | $17.2M |
| 17 | Mexico | 1% | +9424% | $19.1M |
| 18 | Croatia | 1% | +9424% | $20.7M |
| 19 | Ecuador | 1% | +13233% | $20.8M |
| 20 | Senegal | 1% | +13233% | $17.2M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e....
As of May 14, 2026 at 20:05 UTC, the leading outcome is France at 18% probability, with $979.8M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $979.8M, with $8.7M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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