No clear favorite. Spain leads at just 17%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1264.5M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 17% | +490% | $25.3M |
| 2 | France | 17% | +501% | $31.5M |
| 3 | England | 11% | +797% | $20.8M |
| 4 | Portugal | 10% | +876% | $25.3M |
| 5 | Brazil | 9% | +970% | $22.7M |
| 6 | Argentina | 9% | +1070% | $22.4M |
| 7 | Germany BEST VALUE | 5% | +1842% | $21.4M |
| 8 | Netherlands | 4% | +2567% | $24.2M |
| 9 | Norway | 3% | +3409% | $25.6M |
| 10 | Japan | 2% | +5305% | $27.3M |
| 11 | Colombia | 2% | +5614% | $21.0M |
| 12 | Belgium | 2% | +5614% | $21.0M |
| 13 | Morocco | 1% | +6797% | $27.2M |
| 14 | USA | 1% | +8596% | $39.7M |
| 15 | Switzerland | 1% | +9424% | $23.3M |
| 16 | Uruguay | 1% | +9424% | $21.9M |
| 17 | Mexico | 1% | +9424% | $25.8M |
| 18 | Ecuador | 1% | +11665% | $28.7M |
| 19 | Croatia | 1% | +11665% | $28.6M |
| 20 | Turkiye | 1% | +13233% | $16.8M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e....
As of May 28, 2026 at 22:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Spain at 17% probability, with $1264.5M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1264.5M, with $16.3M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms