Rory McIlroy leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rory McIlroy | 80% | +25% | $420 |
| 2 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 45% | +122% | $110 |
| 3 | Nacho Elvira | 44% | +127% | $93 |
| 4 | Wyndham Clark | 44% | +127% | $213 |
| 5 | Tom Kim | 44% | +130% | - |
| 6 | Min Woo Lee | 38% | +163% | - |
| 7 | Chris Gotterup | 36% | +174% | $160 |
| 8 | Nicolai Hojgaard | 36% | +182% | $6 |
| 9 | Robert MacIntyre | 34% | +199% | - |
| 10 | Tommy Fleetwood | 20% | +388% | - |
| 11 | Tyrrell Hatton | 20% | +388% | - |
| 12 | Keita Nakajima | 19% | +424% | - |
| 13 | Ryan Gerard | 17% | +488% | - |
| 14 | Alejandro Del Ray | 14% | +614% | - |
| 15 | Joost Luiten | 12% | +755% | - |
| 16 | Ryan Fox | 12% | +762% | - |
| 17 | Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 12% | +770% | - |
| 18 | Hendrik Du Plessis | 11% | +809% | - |
| 19 | Johnny Keefer | 11% | +809% | - |
| 20 | Viktor Hovland BEST VALUE | 10% | +852% | $41 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 at the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final result...
This prediction market tracks whether PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Top 10 will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Rory McIlroy at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (87% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 10, 2026 at 20:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Rory McIlroy at 80% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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