The market strongly favors Rory McIlroy at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rory McIlroy | 94% | +6% | $312 |
| 2 | Wyndham Clark | 70% | +44% | $500 |
| 3 | Chris Gotterup | 64% | +56% | $520 |
| 4 | Tom Kim | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 48% | +106% | $20 |
| 6 | Min Woo Lee | 46% | +117% | $20 |
| 7 | Robert MacIntyre | 44% | +130% | $2 |
| 8 | Nicolai Hojgaard | 42% | +138% | - |
| 9 | Keita Nakajima | 36% | +182% | - |
| 10 | Johnny Keefer | 29% | +245% | - |
| 11 | Ryan Gerard | 28% | +251% | $20 |
| 12 | Tommy Fleetwood | 28% | +257% | - |
| 13 | Tyrrell Hatton | 26% | +277% | $5 |
| 14 | Alejandro Del Ray | 24% | +326% | - |
| 15 | Ryan Fox | 24% | +326% | - |
| 16 | Kurt Kitayama | 23% | +335% | - |
| 17 | Joost Luiten | 23% | +335% | - |
| 18 | Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra | 22% | +344% | $5 |
| 19 | Corey Conners | 22% | +365% | - |
| 20 | Hendrik Du Plessis BEST VALUE | 21% | +376% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final result...
This prediction market tracks whether PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Top 20 will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Rory McIlroy is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (80% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 10, 2026 at 20:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Rory McIlroy at 94% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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