The market strongly favors Tom Kim at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Kim | 100% | +0% | $86 |
| 2 | Min Woo Lee | 100% | +0% | $31 |
| 3 | Johnny Keefer | 99% | +1% | $240 |
| 4 | Keita Nakajima | 99% | +1% | $60 |
| 5 | Matt Fitzpatrick BEST VALUE | 99% | +1% | $39 |
| 6 | Robert MacIntyre | 99% | +1% | $65 |
| 7 | Chris Gotterup | 1% | +10426% | $40 |
| 8 | Mac Meissner | 1% | +10426% | - |
| 9 | Alejandro Del Ray | 1% | +11011% | $130 |
| 10 | Pablo Larrazábal | 1% | +11665% | $155 |
| 11 | Francesco Molinari | 1% | +12400% | $208 |
| 12 | Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 1% | +13233% | $780 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results...
This prediction market tracks whether PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Top 5 will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Tom Kim is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (53% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 12, 2026 at 19:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Tom Kim at 100% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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