The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Alcaraz | 42% | $31K |
| 2 | Jannik Sinner | 34% | $111K |
| 3 | Alexander Zverev | 4% | $191K |
| 4 | Novak Djokovic | 3% | $96K |
| 5 | Arthur Fils | 2% | $53K |
| 6 | Casper Ruud | 2% | $15K |
| 7 | Lorenzo Musetti | 1% | $220K |
| 8 | Jack Draper | 1% | $46K |
| 9 | Joao Fonseca | 1% | $83K |
| 10 | Cameron Norrie | 1% | $28K |
| 11 | Andrey Rublev | 1% | $62K |
| 12 | Ben Shelton | 1% | $57K |
| 13 | Daniil Medvedev | 1% | $91K |
| 14 | Alex De Minaur | 1% | $12K |
| 15 | Taylor Fritz | 1% | $12K |
| 16 | Tommy Paul | 1% | $11K |
| 17 | Jakub Mensik | 1% | $12K |
| 18 | Francisco Cerundolo | 1% | $12K |
| 19 | Jiri Lehecka | 1% | $32K |
| 20 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1% | $28K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Carlos Alcaraz at 42% probability, with $1.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.6M, with $45K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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