Market is split — Scottie Scheffler at 44%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | 44% | +130% | $185 |
| 2 | Rory McIlroy | 40% | +147% | $201 |
| 3 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 34% | +199% | $417 |
| 4 | Tommy Fleetwood | 34% | +199% | $6 |
| 5 | Jon Rahm | 29% | +245% | - |
| 6 | Xander Schauffele | 25% | +300% | $513 |
| 7 | Viktor Hovland | 24% | +308% | $564 |
| 8 | Justin Rose | 21% | +376% | - |
| 9 | Robert MacIntyre | 21% | +376% | $149 |
| 10 | Shane Lowry | 20% | +388% | - |
| 11 | Si Woo Kim | 19% | +426% | $150 |
| 12 | Tyrrell Hatton | 18% | +441% | - |
| 13 | Cameron Young | 18% | +441% | - |
| 14 | Tom Kim | 18% | +441% | - |
| 15 | Patrick Cantlay | 18% | +441% | - |
| 16 | Chris Gotterup | 18% | +456% | $42 |
| 17 | Collin Morikawa | 18% | +471% | $356 |
| 18 | Min Woo Lee | 18% | +471% | $5 |
| 19 | Russell Henley | 17% | +488% | $683 |
| 20 | Wyndham Clark BEST VALUE | 16% | +506% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final result...
This prediction market tracks whether PGA Tour: The Open Championship Top 10 will occur, with $37K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Scottie Scheffler leading at just 44%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $37K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 13, 2026 at 23:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Scottie Scheffler at 44% probability, with $37K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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