Scottie Scheffler leads at 64%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | 64% | +56% | - |
| 2 | Rory McIlroy | 54% | +85% | $4K |
| 3 | Tommy Fleetwood | 51% | +96% | - |
| 4 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 50% | +102% | - |
| 5 | Jon Rahm | 44% | +127% | $20 |
| 6 | Xander Schauffele | 40% | +150% | - |
| 7 | Viktor Hovland | 40% | +153% | $252 |
| 8 | Robert MacIntyre | 38% | +167% | $1K |
| 9 | Collin Morikawa | 34% | +194% | $47 |
| 10 | Wyndham Clark | 34% | +194% | - |
| 11 | Min Woo Lee | 34% | +194% | - |
| 12 | Cameron Young | 34% | +199% | - |
| 13 | Justin Rose | 33% | +203% | - |
| 14 | Russell Henley | 33% | +203% | - |
| 15 | Chris Gotterup | 32% | +208% | - |
| 16 | Patrick Cantlay | 32% | +208% | $60 |
| 17 | Tyrrell Hatton | 32% | +212% | - |
| 18 | Si Woo Kim | 32% | +212% | - |
| 19 | Sam Burns | 32% | +217% | - |
| 20 | Tom Kim BEST VALUE | 30% | +233% | $40 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final result...
This prediction market tracks whether PGA Tour: The Open Championship Top 20 will occur, with $13K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Scottie Scheffler at 64%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 14, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Scottie Scheffler at 64% probability, with $13K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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