No clear favorite. Scottie Scheffler leads at just 32%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | 32% | +208% | - |
| 2 | Rory McIlroy | 26% | +285% | $279 |
| 3 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 20% | +388% | $340 |
| 4 | Tommy Fleetwood | 20% | +388% | $360 |
| 5 | Viktor Hovland | 18% | +471% | - |
| 6 | Jon Rahm | 16% | +525% | - |
| 7 | Xander Schauffele | 14% | +614% | $420 |
| 8 | Tyrrell Hatton | 13% | +669% | - |
| 9 | Justin Rose | 12% | +700% | - |
| 10 | Robert MacIntyre | 12% | +733% | $212 |
| 11 | Cameron Young | 12% | +733% | - |
| 12 | Patrick Cantlay | 12% | +733% | $3K |
| 13 | Si Woo Kim | 12% | +770% | - |
| 14 | Alex Fitzpatrick | 10% | +852% | $489 |
| 15 | Wyndham Clark | 10% | +900% | $760 |
| 16 | Collin Morikawa BEST VALUE | 10% | +953% | $1K |
| 17 | Chris Gotterup | 10% | +953% | - |
| 18 | Russell Henley | 10% | +953% | - |
| 19 | Min Woo Lee | 10% | +953% | - |
| 20 | Tom Kim | 10% | +953% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results...
This prediction market tracks whether PGA Tour: The Open Championship Top 5 will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Scottie Scheffler leads at only 32% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 14, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Scottie Scheffler at 32% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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