No clear favorite. Scottie Scheffler leads at just 10%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | 10% | +953% | $105 |
| 2 | Rory McIlroy | 8% | +1233% | $1K |
| 3 | Tommy Fleetwood BEST VALUE | 5% | +1769% | $5 |
| 4 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 5% | +1983% | $23 |
| 5 | Jon Rahm | 4% | +2640% | $1K |
| 6 | Collin Morikawa | 2% | +4344% | $1K |
| 7 | Cameron Young | 2% | +4344% | $3K |
| 8 | Robert MacIntyre | 2% | +5614% | $336 |
| 9 | Xander Schauffele | 2% | +6150% | $5 |
| 10 | Viktor Hovland | 2% | +6352% | $5 |
| 11 | Tom Kim | 2% | +6567% | $115 |
| 12 | Chris Gotterup | 1% | +7900% | $660 |
| 13 | Wyndham Clark | 1% | +7900% | $505 |
| 14 | Tyrrell Hatton | 1% | +7900% | $270 |
| 15 | Min Woo Lee | 1% | +7900% | $53 |
| 16 | Justin Rose | 1% | +8596% | $5 |
| 17 | Si Woo Kim | 1% | +8596% | $5 |
| 18 | Sam Burns | 1% | +9424% | $4K |
| 19 | Shane Lowry | 1% | +9900% | $5 |
| 20 | Justin Thomas | 1% | +9900% | $5 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 The Open Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the The Open Championship tournament b...
This prediction market tracks whether PGA Tour: The Open Championship Winner will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Scottie Scheffler leads at only 10% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 14, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Scottie Scheffler at 10% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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