No clear favorite. Scottie Scheffler leads at just 22%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | 22% | +355% | $806 |
| 2 | Rory McIlroy | 10% | +900% | $327 |
| 3 | Xander Schauffele | 8% | +1233% | $5 |
| 4 | Sam Burns | 6% | +1639% | $9K |
| 5 | Wyndham Clark | 6% | +1654% | $16 |
| 6 | Collin Morikawa BEST VALUE | 5% | +1769% | $132 |
| 7 | Ludvig Aberg | 4% | +2122% | - |
| 8 | Cameron Young | 4% | +2497% | $500 |
| 9 | Viktor Hovland | 4% | +2532% | $1K |
| 10 | Russell Henley | 4% | +2603% | $13K |
| 11 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 4% | +2678% | - |
| 12 | Tommy Fleetwood | 4% | +2757% | $523 |
| 13 | Chris Gotterup | 3% | +2841% | $5K |
| 14 | Si Woo Kim | 3% | +2977% | - |
| 15 | Hideki Matsuyama | 3% | +3179% | - |
| 16 | Tom Kim | 2% | +4900% | $204 |
| 17 | Kristoffer Reitan | 2% | +5028% | $2K |
| 18 | Ryan Gerard | 2% | +6352% | - |
| 19 | Adam Scott | 2% | +6352% | - |
| 20 | Justin Rose | 2% | +6567% | $500 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on...
This prediction market tracks whether PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner will occur, with $35K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Scottie Scheffler leads at only 22% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $33K traded in the last 24 hours alone (93% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 26, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Scottie Scheffler at 22% probability, with $35K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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