The market strongly favors Wyndham Clark at 99%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wyndham Clark | 99% | +1% | $63 |
| 2 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 96% | +4% | $27 |
| 3 | Rory McIlroy | 96% | +5% | $22 |
| 4 | Jon Rahm | 94% | +6% | $16 |
| 5 | Tommy Fleetwood | 90% | +10% | - |
| 6 | Xander Schauffele | 88% | +14% | $73 |
| 7 | Brian Harman | 88% | +14% | - |
| 8 | Ryder Cowan | 86% | +17% | - |
| 9 | Ben James | 85% | +18% | - |
| 10 | Max Greyserman | 85% | +18% | - |
| 11 | Keegan Bradley | 84% | +19% | - |
| 12 | Dustin Johnson | 84% | +19% | $5 |
| 13 | Collin Morikawa | 84% | +20% | - |
| 14 | Scottie Scheffler | 84% | +20% | - |
| 15 | Tom Kim | 83% | +20% | $19K |
| 16 | Kristoffer Reitan | 83% | +20% | - |
| 17 | Keith Mitchell | 82% | +22% | - |
| 18 | Sam Burns | 81% | +23% | - |
| 19 | Alex Fitzpatrick | 78% | +29% | - |
| 20 | Justin Thomas BEST VALUE | 76% | +31% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player makes the cut for the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No"...
This prediction market tracks whether 2026 U.S. Open: To Make the Cut will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Wyndham Clark is priced at 99%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 19, 2026 at 14:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Wyndham Clark at 99% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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