No clear favorite. Scottie Scheffler leads at just 13%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | 13% | +669% | $2K |
| 2 | Rory McIlroy BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $2K |
| 3 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 4% | +2281% | $11K |
| 4 | Jon Rahm | 4% | +2400% | $5 |
| 5 | Tommy Fleetwood | 4% | +2432% | $220 |
| 6 | Xander Schauffele | 4% | +2497% | $5 |
| 7 | Cameron Young | 4% | +2640% | $732 |
| 8 | Si Woo Kim | 2% | +4900% | $5 |
| 9 | Russell Henley | 2% | +5028% | $5 |
| 10 | Bryson DeChambeau | 2% | +5163% | $1K |
| 11 | Sam Burns | 2% | +5456% | $5 |
| 12 | Tyrrell Hatton | 2% | +5782% | $109 |
| 13 | Patrick Cantlay | 2% | +6352% | $5 |
| 14 | Collin Morikawa | 2% | +6352% | $5 |
| 15 | Viktor Hovland | 2% | +6352% | $5 |
| 16 | Chris Gotterup | 2% | +6567% | $5 |
| 17 | Brooks Koepka | 2% | +6567% | $1K |
| 18 | Justin Thomas | 1% | +6797% | $5 |
| 19 | Patrick Reed | 1% | +7043% | $1K |
| 20 | Wyndham Clark | 1% | +7043% | $75 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 U.S. Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rul...
This prediction market tracks whether PGA Tour: U.S. Open Winner will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Scottie Scheffler leads at only 13% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 16, 2026 at 00:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Scottie Scheffler at 13% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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