The market strongly favors OpenAI at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OpenAI BEST VALUE | 92% | +9% | $10K |
| 2 | Anthropic | 4% | +2757% | $4K |
| 3 | SpaceX | 1% | +9900% | $3K |
| 4 | Epic Games | 1% | +14186% | $2K |
| 5 | Anduril | 1% | +16567% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the listed company with the third largest private market valuation on June 30, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM E...
This prediction market tracks whether 3rd largest private company end of June? will occur, with $42K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: OpenAI is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $9K traded in the last 24 hours alone (23% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 13, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is OpenAI at 92% probability, with $42K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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