Market is split — Act B at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Act B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 2 | Act C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Act D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Act E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Act F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Act G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Act H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Act I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Act J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Geno Ploeger | 32% | +208% | $31K |
| 12 | Come Here | 20% | +388% | $1K |
| 13 | Hundred Fingers | 16% | +506% | $2K |
| 14 | Unitree | 15% | +564% | $865 |
| 15 | Olivia Befus | 9% | +970% | $718 |
| 16 | Lai Noelle BEST VALUE | 6% | +1567% | $959 |
| 17 | Nene Royal | 3% | +3822% | $872 |
| 18 | Royal Lasers | 1% | +8596% | $241 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the act who finishes as the runner-up of America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive...
This prediction market tracks whether America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up will occur, with $46K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
The market is closely contested, with Act B leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $36K traded in the last 24 hours alone (78% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 23, 2026 at 19:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Act B at 50% probability, with $46K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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