The market strongly favors December 31, 2026 at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $2.7M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31, 2026 | 88% | +14% | $625K |
| 2 | December 15, 2026 | 86% | +17% | $2K |
| 3 | November 30, 2026 | 84% | +18% | $2K |
| 4 | November 15, 2026 | 70% | +44% | $2K |
| 5 | October 31, 2026 | 60% | +68% | $743K |
| 6 | October 15, 2026 BEST VALUE | 8% | +1233% | $100K |
| 7 | September 30, 2026 | 1% | +11665% | $865K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." I...
This prediction market tracks whether Anthropic IPO by __? will occur, with $2.7M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: December 31, 2026 is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $101K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-07-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 09, 2026 at 05:35 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 88% probability, with $2.7M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.7M, with $101K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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