December 31, 2026 leads at 79%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
High Volume — $5.4M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31, 2026 | 79% | +27% | $1.3M |
| 2 | December 15, 2026 | 74% | +36% | $271K |
| 3 | November 30, 2026 | 60% | +68% | $460K |
| 4 | November 25, 2026 | 46% | +117% | $8K |
| 5 | November 20, 2026 BEST VALUE | 14% | +590% | $15K |
| 6 | November 15, 2026 | 1% | +8233% | $225K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." I...
This prediction market tracks whether Anthropic IPO by __? will occur, with $5.4M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
Traders lean toward December 31, 2026 at 79%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
The market has seen $132K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 24, 2026 at 09:25 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 79% probability, with $5.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $5.4M, with $132K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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