The market strongly favors December 31, 2026 at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31, 2026 | 90% | +12% | $23K |
| 2 | October 31, 2026 | 76% | +32% | $38K |
| 3 | September 30, 2026 BEST VALUE | 16% | +545% | $121K |
| 4 | September 15, 2026 | 4% | +2122% | $7K |
| 5 | July 31, 2026 | 2% | +4445% | $27K |
| 6 | June 30, 2026 | 1% | +15285% | $21K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." I...
This prediction market tracks whether Anthropic IPO by __? will occur, with $237K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: December 31, 2026 is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $90K traded in the last 24 hours alone (38% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-07-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 90% probability, with $237K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $237K, with $90K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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