The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 100% | +0% | $268 |
| 2 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | +0% | $362 |
| 3 | Nueva Chicago O/U 0.5 | 100% | +0% | $127 |
| 4 | Nueva Chicago 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | +0% | $431 |
| 5 | O/U 1.5 | 73% | +37% | $1K |
| 6 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 72% | +40% | - |
| 7 | Quilmes AC O/U 0.5 | 52% | +92% | $105 |
| 8 | Quilmes AC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams to Score | 52% | +94% | $17 |
| 10 | Quilmes AC O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago O/U 1.5 | 46% | +120% | $61 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 45% | +122% | - |
| 13 | O/U 2.5 | 36% | +178% | $10K |
| 14 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 35% | +186% | $26 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago (-1.5) | 25% | +300% | $12K |
| 16 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 23% | +335% | - |
| 17 | Quilmes AC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 16% | +545% | - |
| 18 | Quilmes AC O/U 1.5 | 15% | +567% | $49 |
| 19 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 13% | +669% | - |
| 20 | O/U 3.5 BEST VALUE | 12% | +700% | $6K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the Primera Nacional game, scheduled for September 5 at 4:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Nueva Chicago vs. Quilmes AC - More Markets will occur, with $34K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $34K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 07, 2026 at 21:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 100% probability, with $34K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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