The market strongly favors Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | $44 |
| 2 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | $44 |
| 3 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | $44 |
| 4 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +98% | $3 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $1 |
| 11 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% | +167% | $708 |
| 15 | Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez BEST VALUE | 34% | +190% | $115K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Luis Carlos Alvarez in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian'...
This prediction market tracks whether Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez will occur, with $107K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $106K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 06, 2026 at 22:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $107K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $107K, with $106K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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