The market strongly favors Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger | 100% | - | $324K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $3K |
| 3 | Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $80 |
| 4 | Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | $2 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Sebastian Sorger in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboi...
This prediction market tracks whether Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger will occur, with $328K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $327K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 04, 2026 at 06:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger at 100% probability, with $328K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $328K, with $327K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms