The market strongly favors Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 2 | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 3 | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 4 | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 21.5 | 78% | +29% | $2 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 54% | +87% | $1K |
| 6 | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $99 |
| 9 | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Game Spread +/-2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki BEST VALUE | 42% | +138% | $29K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta...
This prediction market tracks whether Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $30K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 13, 2026 at 09:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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