Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 Winner leads at 62%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 Winner | 62% | +60% | $5 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Match O/U 23.5 | 55% | +82% | $5 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Completed Match | 48% | +110% | $135 |
| 10 | Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +167% | $5 |
| 11 | Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | - |
| 12 | Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves | 1% | +18082% | $100K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joa...
This prediction market tracks whether Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves will occur, with $100K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 Winner at 62%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $100K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 13, 2026 at 02:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 Winner at 62% probability, with $100K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $100K, with $100K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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