The market strongly favors Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon | 100% | - | $27K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $400 |
| 3 | Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Miguel Tobon in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar...
This prediction market tracks whether Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon will occur, with $28K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $28K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 28, 2026 at 22:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon at 100% probability, with $28K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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