Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 70% | +42% | $31 |
| 2 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur | 66% | +52% | $23K |
| 3 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Set 1 Winner | 63% | +59% | $12 |
| 4 | Completed Match | 52% | +94% | - |
| 5 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +98% | $129 |
| 6 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 10 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Match O/U 22.5 | 44% | +125% | $74 |
| 11 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 44% | +125% | $204 |
| 12 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +153% | $798 |
| 13 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Set 2 Winner | 40% | +153% | $10 |
| 14 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Match O/U 23.5 | 36% | +174% | - |
| 15 | Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 24% | +308% | $191 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Damir Dzumhur in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Me...
This prediction market tracks whether Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 18, 2026 at 15:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 70% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms