The market strongly favors Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 88% | +13% | - |
| 2 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 69% | +45% | - |
| 3 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 68% | +48% | $3K |
| 4 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 61% | +64% | $2 |
| 5 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 6 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 56% | +79% | - |
| 7 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 40.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 38.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 36% | +182% | - |
| 17 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 Winner | 32% | +212% | - |
| 18 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 Winner | 32% | +217% | - |
| 19 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 Winner | 31% | +223% | - |
| 20 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Total Sets: O/U 3.5 BEST VALUE | 30% | +239% | $51 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Daniil Medvedev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel...
This prediction market tracks whether Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 01, 2026 at 09:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 88% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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