The market strongly favors US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $2.5M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev | 100% | - | $2.5M |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $1K |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 100% | - | $4K |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 36.5 | 100% | - | $3K |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | $54 |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 38.5 | 100% | - | $343 |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 Winner | 100% | - | $2K |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 40.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 Winner | 100% | - | $564 |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
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This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Andrey Rublev in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danie...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev will occur, with $2.5M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $266K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 03, 2026 at 18:15 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev at 100% probability, with $2.5M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.5M, with $266K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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