Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur leads at 62%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur | 62% | +60% | $300K |
| 2 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 60% | +65% | - |
| 3 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 57% | +75% | $8K |
| 4 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 56% | +80% | $2K |
| 5 | Completed Match | 54% | +87% | - |
| 6 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 Winner | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 13 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 14 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Game Spread +/-5.5 | 50% | +102% | $625 |
| 15 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 Winner | 39% | +156% | $5 |
| 16 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 37% | +170% | - |
| 17 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 36% | +182% | $8K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur in the Laver Cup, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcar...
This prediction market tracks whether Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur will occur, with $318K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur at 62%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $318K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 27, 2026 at 14:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur at 62% probability, with $318K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $318K, with $318K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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