The market strongly favors Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar | 88% | +14% | $20K |
| 2 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Set 1 Winner | 80% | +24% | $458 |
| 3 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Set 2 Winner | 80% | +25% | - |
| 4 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 66% | +52% | $604 |
| 5 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 66% | +53% | - |
| 6 | Completed Match | 54% | +87% | - |
| 7 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 8 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 9 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 10 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Game Spread +/-5.5 | 46% | +115% | $787 |
| 11 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 43% | +133% | - |
| 12 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Match O/U 21.5 | 41% | +144% | - |
| 13 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Match O/U 22.5 | 34% | +199% | - |
| 14 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Match O/U 23.5 | 32% | +212% | - |
| 15 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 28% | +257% | - |
| 16 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 19% | +426% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Jaume Munar in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve t...
This prediction market tracks whether Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 04, 2026 at 23:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar at 88% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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