The market strongly favors Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $483 |
| 3 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 75% | +33% | $12 |
| 4 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 36.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 40.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 41% | +144% | - |
| 15 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 38.5 | 34% | +190% | $27 |
| 16 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys | 26% | +277% | $76K |
| 17 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set 3 Winner | 16% | +506% | $75 |
| 18 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 10% | +953% | $352 |
| 19 | Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 4% | +2281% | $7 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Quentin Halys in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi'...
This prediction market tracks whether Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys will occur, with $76K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $64K traded in the last 24 hours alone (85% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 30, 2026 at 12:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $76K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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