The market strongly favors Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka | 100% | - | $259K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $560 |
| 3 | Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $5 |
| 5 | Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | $734 |
| 7 | Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | $95 |
| 8 | Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | - | $5 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Daniil Glinka in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if...
This prediction market tracks whether Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka will occur, with $260K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $250K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 11, 2026 at 15:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka at 100% probability, with $260K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $260K, with $250K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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