Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.5 leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 76% | +32% | $5K |
| 2 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac Game Spread +/-4.5 | 56% | +79% | $218 |
| 3 | Completed Match | 54% | +85% | $228 |
| 4 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $262 |
| 9 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac Set 2 Winner | 24% | +326% | $10 |
| 12 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $43K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Tomas Machac in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will reso...
This prediction market tracks whether Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac will occur, with $50K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $50K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 01, 2026 at 12:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 76% probability, with $50K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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