Market is split — Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri Set 2 O/U 10.5 at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 2 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $8 |
| 9 | Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $7 |
| 10 | Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 11 | Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | $18 |
| 12 | Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri | 2% | +6567% | $41K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Samuele Pieri in the Bonn, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bail...
This prediction market tracks whether Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri will occur, with $38K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri Set 2 O/U 10.5 leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $38K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 28, 2026 at 14:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri Set 2 O/U 10.5 at 50% probability, with $38K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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