The market strongly favors Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | $48 |
| 2 | Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | $63 |
| 3 | Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | $48 |
| 4 | Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | $48 |
| 5 | Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 99% | +1% | $3 |
| 6 | Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 21.5 | 99% | +1% | $659 |
| 7 | Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 22.5 | 99% | +1% | $2 |
| 8 | Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 23.5 | 99% | +1% | - |
| 9 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli | 42% | +135% | $170K |
| 12 | Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | $1 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Henry Bernet and Federico Bondioli in the Trieste, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry Bernet' if H...
This prediction market tracks whether Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli will occur, with $170K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $170K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 10, 2026 at 20:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $170K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $170K, with $170K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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