The market strongly favors Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $289 |
| 4 | Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | $532 |
| 5 | Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Set 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | $2K |
| 6 | Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +0% | $224 |
| 7 | Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 8 | Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 9 | Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 10 | Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +0% | $168 |
| 11 | Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Game Spread +/-3.5 | 82% | +22% | $287 |
| 12 | Completed Match | 52% | +92% | $200 |
| 13 | Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul BEST VALUE | 18% | +441% | $421K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Tommy Paul in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if...
This prediction market tracks whether Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul will occur, with $430K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $458K traded in the last 24 hours alone (107% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 21, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $430K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $430K, with $458K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms