The market strongly favors Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller | 70% | +44% | $149K |
| 6 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 15 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 16 | Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | $117 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Brancaccio and Marvin Moeller in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Brancaccio'...
This prediction market tracks whether Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller will occur, with $149K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $149K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 12, 2026 at 15:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $149K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $149K, with $149K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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