US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | 76% | +31% | $17K |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 Winner | 68% | +47% | - |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 3 Winner | 68% | +47% | - |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 Winner | 68% | +48% | - |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 65% | +54% | - |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 62% | +60% | - |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 56% | +77% | $2 |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 36.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Game Spread +/-5.5 | 50% | +100% | $40 |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 40.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Adrian Mannarino in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexand...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 02, 2026 at 12:05 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino at 76% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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