China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Game Spread +/-2.5 leads at 71%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Game Spread +/-2.5 | 71% | +41% | $535 |
| 2 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 61% | +64% | $76 |
| 3 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 21.5 | 54% | +87% | $82 |
| 4 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $854 |
| 5 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | $3 |
| 8 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $46 |
| 12 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +111% | $385 |
| 13 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 37% | +170% | $554 |
| 14 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 Winner | 33% | +203% | - |
| 15 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik | 18% | +456% | $99K |
| 16 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 Winner BEST VALUE | 6% | +1567% | $524 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Jakub Mensik in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander B...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik will occur, with $102K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Game Spread +/-2.5 at 71%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $98K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 01, 2026 at 13:05 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik Game Spread +/-2.5 at 71% probability, with $102K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $102K, with $98K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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