Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 82% | +21% | - |
| 2 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 | 56% | +77% | $27 |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 56% | +79% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 53% | +89% | - |
| 5 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 52% | +90% | $33 |
| 6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Game Spread +/-3.5 | 52% | +94% | - |
| 7 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 8 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 22.5 | 47% | +113% | - |
| 11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 23.5 | 40% | +147% | - |
| 12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 Winner | 38% | +163% | - |
| 13 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 34% | +194% | - |
| 14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 34% | +199% | - |
| 15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 Winner | 31% | +223% | - |
| 16 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | 24% | +308% | $24K |
| 17 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 14% | +641% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will r...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 12, 2026 at 00:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms