The market strongly favors Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia | 100% | - | $43K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $9 |
| 7 | Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $268 |
| 8 | Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 11 | Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Nicolas Mejia in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Ca...
This prediction market tracks whether Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia will occur, with $43K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $41K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 20, 2026 at 02:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia at 100% probability, with $43K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms