The market strongly favors St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $15 |
| 2 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $5 |
| 7 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 9 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Set 2 Winner | 100% | +1% | $5 |
| 10 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +1% | $28 |
| 11 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Match O/U 23.5 | 90% | +10% | - |
| 12 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur | 60% | +68% | $76K |
| 13 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $800 |
| 14 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Game Spread +/-2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Murphy Cassone and Daniel Masur in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone...
This prediction market tracks whether St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur will occur, with $77K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $77K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 25, 2026 at 11:15 UTC, the leading outcome is St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $77K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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