Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 80% | +24% | $65 |
| 2 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.5 | 56% | +79% | - |
| 3 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 52% | +90% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 51% | +96% | $3K |
| 5 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 6 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 7 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 8 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.5 | 50% | +102% | $633 |
| 9 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +111% | $40 |
| 10 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner | 44% | +130% | - |
| 11 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.5 | 44% | +130% | $91 |
| 12 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner | 41% | +144% | - |
| 13 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 40% | +150% | - |
| 14 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 40% | +153% | $15K |
| 15 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 37% | +170% | $168 |
| 16 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 30% | +228% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will r...
This prediction market tracks whether Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (94% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 25, 2026 at 22:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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