HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 10.5 leads at 64%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 64% | +57% | - |
| 2 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 62% | +63% | - |
| 3 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5 | 57% | +74% | $342 |
| 4 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 53% | +89% | - |
| 5 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5 | 52% | +90% | $191 |
| 6 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 23.5 | 46% | +115% | $7 |
| 9 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% | +138% | $53 |
| 10 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 42% | +138% | $25K |
| 11 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 41% | +144% | $250 |
| 12 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 40% | +150% | - |
| 13 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Set 2 Winner | 40% | +153% | - |
| 14 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 Winner | 38% | +160% | $116 |
| 15 | HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul BEST VALUE | 34% | +199% | $46K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Tommy Paul in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisc...
This prediction market tracks whether HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul will occur, with $71K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 10.5 at 64%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $71K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 21, 2026 at 10:15 UTC, the leading outcome is HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 10.5 at 64% probability, with $71K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms