The market strongly favors Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 87%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 87% | +15% | $665 |
| 2 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 72% | +38% | $1K |
| 3 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 4 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 36.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 40.5 | 50% | +100% | $446 |
| 9 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Completed Match | 50% | +102% | - |
| 16 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 17 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 28% | +257% | $1K |
| 18 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 38.5 | 28% | +257% | $198 |
| 19 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 Winner BEST VALUE | 28% | +264% | $28 |
| 20 | Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev | 3% | +3348% | $75K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Daniil Medvedev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if...
This prediction market tracks whether Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev will occur, with $77K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 is priced at 87%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $76K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 29, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 87% probability, with $77K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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