Market is split — US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $34K |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 Winner | 50% | +100% | $3K |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 50% | +100% | $5K |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | $555 |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | $657 |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 36.5 | 50% | +100% | $4 |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-4.5 | 50% | +100% | $68 |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $9K |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 38.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 Winner | 50% | +100% | $25 |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 40.5 | 50% | +100% | $178 |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 50% | +100% | $2K |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | $375 |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Andrey Rublev in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if M...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev will occur, with $57K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $56K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 30, 2026 at 19:45 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev at 50% probability, with $57K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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