The market strongly favors Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 85%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 85% | +18% | - |
| 2 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka | 72% | +38% | $34K |
| 3 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Set 2 Winner | 68% | +48% | - |
| 4 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 Winner | 66% | +53% | - |
| 5 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Match O/U 21.5 | 62% | +60% | - |
| 6 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 59% | +69% | - |
| 7 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Game Spread +/-2.5 | 57% | +74% | - |
| 8 | Completed Match | 54% | +87% | $129 |
| 9 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Match O/U 22.5 | 52% | +94% | $38 |
| 10 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +98% | $4K |
| 11 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 12 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 13 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 14 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Match O/U 23.5 | 43% | +133% | - |
| 15 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 36% | +174% | $4 |
| 16 | Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 36% | +182% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Stan Wawrinka in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli'...
This prediction market tracks whether Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka will occur, with $38K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 85%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $38K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 22, 2026 at 14:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 85% probability, with $38K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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