Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 75%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 75% | +33% | - |
| 2 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 75% | +33% | $8 |
| 3 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego | 66% | +50% | $170K |
| 4 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 21.5 | 64% | +55% | $160 |
| 5 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 Winner | 62% | +63% | - |
| 6 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 Winner | 62% | +63% | - |
| 7 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 62% | +63% | - |
| 8 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 55% | +82% | $14 |
| 9 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 22.5 | 55% | +83% | $59 |
| 10 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 12 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 43% | +133% | - |
| 13 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 42% | +141% | $72 |
| 14 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +147% | $24 |
| 15 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 38% | +167% | $65 |
| 16 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 18% | +441% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Collignon and Lorenzo Sonego in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collig...
This prediction market tracks whether Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego will occur, with $170K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 75%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $169K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 15, 2026 at 07:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 75% probability, with $170K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $170K, with $169K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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