Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 70% | +42% | $210 |
| 2 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald | 55% | +83% | $15K |
| 3 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 Winner | 52% | +94% | - |
| 4 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Match O/U 22.5 | 44% | +125% | - |
| 13 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +160% | $25 |
| 14 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 34% | +190% | - |
| 15 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 30% | +233% | - |
| 16 | Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Cezar Cretu and Niels McDonald in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Cretu' if Ceza...
This prediction market tracks whether Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 25, 2026 at 11:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 70% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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