The market strongly favors Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $1K |
| 2 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 74% | +36% | - |
| 6 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 34% | +199% | $169K |
| 12 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | $17 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Damas and Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the Liege, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Mi...
This prediction market tracks whether Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly will occur, with $170K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $169K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 08, 2026 at 17:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $170K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $170K, with $169K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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