Market is split — US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 58%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 58% | +71% | $16K |
| 2 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $55 |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 50% | +100% | $255 |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 36.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 38.5 | 50% | +100% | $2K |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 40.5 | 50% | +100% | $451 |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Frances Tiafoe in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe will occur, with $60K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 leading at just 58%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $59K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 01, 2026 at 01:35 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 58% probability, with $60K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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